Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.905686 7.674483 8.566500 9.697642 11.124456 12.910925 15.400843
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.362544 7.449427 8.844901 10.853362 13.844874 18.515172 27.493436
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.110450 7.517704 9.516736 12.828996 18.940619 32.538705 89.786837
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.462119 6.930969 9.159395 13.243619 22.250067 51.886622 5065.091105
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.165454 6.797886 9.482526 15.117482 31.648483 191.356986 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.836832 6.559169 9.594264 16.839720 46.826914 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.399280 6.070267 9.138819 17.101172 60.900656 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.988998 5.567348 8.547049 16.749487 74.590999 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.890227 5.593762 9.057882 20.402058 310.445660 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.924068 5.875042 10.286668 29.736677 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.809906 5.853045 10.815158 38.842105 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.655342 5.722568 11.023613 48.608255 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.405585 5.390408 10.648174 54.324928 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.189735 5.101684 10.328395 62.069129 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.055464 4.975271 10.523510 91.352887 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.811388 4.564072 9.581509 77.398682 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.680533 4.399312 9.492866 102.272570 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.545967 4.207652 9.244120 126.022848 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.378951 3.920186 8.547577 104.933987 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.219810 3.638096 7.822412 80.847292 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.170628 3.611537 8.076241 146.802813 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.170487 3.703965 8.882717 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.120156 3.664294 9.119353 NaN NaN NaN NaN